Scottish Football Predictions

21 upcoming fixtures · updated 2026-07-31 19:15

Scottish Premiership

MatchHomeDrawAwayLikely score
Dundee United v Rangers
Fri 31 Jul · 20:00
20%22%57%1-2
10%
Falkirk v St Mirren
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
47%27%25%1-0
10%
Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian
Sat 01 Aug · 17:30
24%28%48%0-1
11%
St Johnstone v Kilmarnock
Sun 02 Aug · 14:00
45%28%27%1-0
10%
Hibernian v Motherwell
Sun 02 Aug · 16:30
43%28%29%1-0
9%
Celtic v Dundee
Mon 03 Aug · 19:30
79%14%7%2-0
10%

Scottish Championship

MatchHomeDrawAwayLikely score
Raith Rovers v Stenhousemuir
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
42%29%28%1-0
11%
Livingston v Queen's Park
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
53%26%21%1-0
11%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle v Dunfermline Athletic
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
47%30%23%1-0
13%
Ayr United v Arbroath
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
45%28%26%1-0
10%
Greenock Morton v Partick Thistle
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
30%29%41%0-1
10%

Scottish League One

MatchHomeDrawAwayLikely score
Peterhead v Ross County
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
37%29%35%1-0
9%
Montrose v Hamilton Academical
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
32%26%42%1-2
9%
East Kilbride v Queen of the South
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
47%24%29%2-1
9%
Cove Rangers v Airdrieonians
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
39%28%33%2-1
9%
Alloa Athletic v East Fife
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
50%26%24%2-1
10%

Scottish League Two

MatchHomeDrawAwayLikely score
Edinburgh City v Elgin City
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
37%26%37%1-2
8%
Clyde v Stranraer
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
47%27%25%1-0
10%
Annan Athletic v Spartans
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
32%28%40%0-1
9%
Forfar Athletic v Kelty Hearts
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
44%30%26%1-0
12%
Stirling Albion v Dumbarton
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
41%26%33%2-1
9%
About this model. A Dixon-Coles Poisson goal model fitted on five seasons of Scottish league results, refitted before each round. It predicts match result and the full scoreline distribution; the fit moves from pooling all four divisions towards a division-specific one as a season accumulates its own data.
These are model probabilities for information only, not betting advice. In walk-forward testing on a held-out season this model did not beat bookmaker prices — flat-stake betting on its disagreements lost money. It is published as a calibrated forecast, not an edge.