Portugal vs Croatia Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Toronto Stadium · 2026-07-02
Portugal
1.71–1.10model xG
Croatia
Portugal
50%
Draw
27%
Croatia
24%
implied probability · look for prices above the second number
Portugal 2.01 >2.11Draw 3.77 >3.96Croatia 4.22 >4.44O2.5 1.92 >2.02U2.5 2.09 >2.19BTTS-Y 1.87 >1.96BTTS-N 2.15 >2.26
top scorelines · teal border = 80% coverage set
1-112.0% · 8.31-09.4% · 10.72-18.7% · 11.52-08.7% · 11.50-08.5% · 11.81-25.8% · 17.1
About this prediction
Probabilities are generated by running 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of this match using dynamic team strength ratings, venue adjustments, and weather conditions. The model has been validated on out-of-sample international fixtures.

This is a model output — always compare prices across multiple sources.

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