France vs Spain Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Dallas Stadium · 2026-07-14
France
0.84–1.17model xG
Spain
France
25%
Draw
33%
Spain
42%
implied probability · look for prices above the second number
France 3.97 >4.17Draw 3.00 >3.15Spain 2.41 >2.53O2.5 3.06 >3.21U2.5 1.49 >1.56BTTS-Y 2.55 >2.67BTTS-N 1.65 >1.73
top scorelines · teal border = 80% coverage set
0-016.0% · 6.30-114.0% · 7.21-113.9% · 7.21-09.7% · 10.30-29.0% · 11.11-26.9% · 14.4
About this prediction
Probabilities are generated by running 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of this match using dynamic team strength ratings, venue adjustments, and weather conditions. The model has been validated on out-of-sample international fixtures.

This is a model output — always compare prices across multiple sources.

See all World Cup 2026 predictions →
📩 Get today's model analysis before kickoff