English Football Forecasts

24 upcoming fixtures · updated 2026-10-25 08:08

Premier League

MatchHomeDrawAwayTop scoreO2.5BTTS
Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Sun 25 Oct · 14:00
37%26%37%1‑1
12%
58%61%
Hull v Brentford
Sun 25 Oct · 14:00
25%27%47%1‑1
13%
47%51%
Liverpool v Brighton
Sun 25 Oct · 14:00
43%25%32%1‑1
11%
60%62%
Man United v Bournemouth
Sun 25 Oct · 14:00
50%24%25%1‑1
11%
60%61%
Sunderland v Leeds
Sun 25 Oct · 16:30
31%30%40%1‑1
14%
41%48%

League One

MatchHomeDrawAwayTop scoreO2.5BTTS
Leicester v Wigan
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
61%23%16%1‑0
13%
48%46%
Luton v Doncaster
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
54%24%22%1‑1
11%
53%53%
Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
62%21%17%2‑0
10%
60%55%
Oxford v Stockport
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
49%25%26%1‑1
12%
54%56%
Sheffield Weds v Cambridge
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
62%21%16%2‑0
11%
56%52%

League Two

MatchHomeDrawAwayTop scoreO2.5BTTS
Walsall v Salford
Mon 26 Oct · 20:00
31%28%41%1‑1
13%
45%50%
Barnet v York
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
49%24%27%1‑1
11%
60%61%

National League

MatchHomeDrawAwayTop scoreO2.5BTTS
Fylde v Hartlepool
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
51%24%25%1‑1
11%
52%53%
Hornchurch v Yeovil
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
36%25%40%1‑1
12%
54%57%
Altrincham v Kidderminster
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
41%28%31%1‑0
14%
38%44%
Boston Utd v Gateshead
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
60%20%19%2‑1
10%
61%57%
Halifax v Barrow
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
44%24%32%1‑1
11%
54%57%
Tamworth v Scunthorpe
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
45%22%33%1‑1
10%
65%65%
Wealdstone v Solihull
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
48%23%29%1‑1
10%
60%61%
Woking v Boreham Wood
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
29%23%48%1‑1
11%
59%60%
Worthing v Southend
Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
37%22%41%1‑1
9%
66%67%
Carlisle v Harrogate
Wed 28 Oct · 19:45
43%22%35%1‑1
10%
65%65%
Forest Green v Eastleigh
Wed 28 Oct · 19:45
56%23%22%1‑0
11%
54%53%
Sutton v Aldershot
Wed 28 Oct · 19:45
43%25%32%1‑1
12%
50%54%
About these forecasts. A Dixon-Coles Poisson goal model fitted on four seasons of English Football results, refitted before each round. Each country is fitted with its second division included, so promoted and relegated clubs keep their history, and the weight on the other division falls away as a season accumulates its own data. Team strength is anchored partly on squad market value, which is what lets the model see a promoted side that has just been rebuilt.
Model probabilities, published for information — not betting advice. Tested against five seasons of Betfair closing prices over 285,824 settled selections, this model shows no edge in match result, over/under, both-teams-to-score or correct score. Flat-stake betting on its disagreements with the market broke even at best. It is published as a calibrated forecast, not a tip.