Brazil vs Japan Prediction

World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Houston Stadium · 2026-06-29
Brazil
1.24–1.01model xG
Japan
Brazil
40%
Draw
31%
Japan
29%
implied probability · look for prices above the second number
Brazil 2.52 >2.65Draw 3.21 >3.37Japan 3.43 >3.60O2.5 2.57 >2.70U2.5 1.64 >1.72BTTS-Y 2.24 >2.35BTTS-N 1.81 >1.90
top scorelines · teal border = 80% coverage set
1-113.8% · 7.30-013.1% · 7.61-011.4% · 8.70-19.3% · 10.72-07.7% · 13.02-17.5% · 13.4
About this prediction
Probabilities are generated by running 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of this match using dynamic team strength ratings, venue adjustments, and weather conditions. The model has been validated on out-of-sample international fixtures.

This is a model output — always compare prices across multiple sources.

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